William & Mary
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 79.8848Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 79.9) 8-14 214 H Longwood Big South ( 3-12, 71.8) 17- 4 218 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 4, 90.0) 11-16 221 A George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 76.0) 14-12 228 H Coastal Carolina Atlantic Su (10- 8, 81.1) 9- 7 304 A VCU Atlantic 10 (13- 5, 83.2) 11-20 308 H Xavier Big East ( 2-14, 77.0) 8- 7 314 H Drexel Colonial ( 5-11, 83.2) 13- 7 321 H Towson Colonial ( 8-11, 84.1) 6-10 325 N UMBC America Eas ( 7- 8, 80.6) 12-10 328 A Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 9- 8, 79.8) 13-10 404 A Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 82.9) 4- 9 408 H East Carolina AAC ( 8- 9, 83.5) 9-16 412 H Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 9-18 418 H Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 81.7) 8-10 425 A Hofstra Colonial (10- 7, 84.6) 2-15
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
210 A George Washington 8-14 -6 -1 -- -4.61
214 H Longwood 17- 4 13 9 + 3.59
218 H Richmond 11-16 -5 -9 + 3.72
221 A George Mason 14-12 2 3 -0.54
228 H Coastal Carolina 9- 7 2 0 1.89
304 A VCU 11-20 -9 -5 -- -4.31
308 H Xavier 8- 7 1 4 - -3.27
314 H Drexel 13- 7 6 -2 +++ 8.00
321 H Towson 6-10 -4 -3 -1.15
325 N UMBC 12-10 2 -1 + 2.73
328 A Monmouth (NJ) 13-10 3 -1 ++ 4.28
404 A Elon 4- 9 -5 -4 -0.57
408 H East Carolina 9-16 -7 -2 -- -4.72
412 H Stony Brook 9-18 -9 -12 + 3.46
418 H Campbell 8-10 -2 0 -1.52
425 A Hofstra 2-15 -13 -6 --- -6.96
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Hofstra 2-15 -13 -6 --- -6.96 210 A George Washington 8-14 -6 -1 -- -4.61 304 A VCU 11-20 -9 -5 -- -4.31 408 H East Carolina 9-16 -7 -2 -- -4.72 308 H Xavier 8- 7 1 4 - -3.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Drexel 13- 7 6 -2 +++ 8.00 328 A Monmouth (NJ) 13-10 3 -1 ++ 4.28 214 H Longwood 17- 4 13 9 + 3.59 218 H Richmond 11-16 -5 -9 + 3.72 325 N UMBC 12-10 2 -1 + 2.73 412 H Stony Brook 9-18 -9 -12 + 3.46 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A George Washing ( 9- 8, 79.9) 8-14 -19.99 20.17 1.37 1.08 -10.08
3 H Longwood ( 3-12, 71.8) 17- 4 -28.06 12.11 -1.37 1.08 23.26
3 H Richmond (13- 4, 90.0) 11-16 -9.93 30.24 -1.37 1.08 -6.11
3 A George Mason ( 6-10, 76.0) 14-12 -23.93 16.24 1.37 1.08 38.13
3 H Coastal Caroli (10- 8, 81.1) 9- 7 -18.76 21.41 -1.37 1.08 43.40
3 A VCU (13- 5, 83.2) 11-20 -16.70 23.47 1.37 1.08 -8.30
3 H Xavier ( 2-14, 77.0) 8- 7 -22.92 17.25 -1.37 1.08 34.39
3 H Drexel ( 5-11, 83.2) 13- 7 -16.65 23.52 -1.37 1.08 47.96
3 H Towson ( 8-11, 84.1) 6-10 -15.80 24.37 -1.37 1.08 -9.29
3 N UMBC ( 7- 8, 80.6) 12-10 -19.29 20.88 -0.00 1.08 45.22
3 A Monmouth (NJ) ( 9- 8, 79.8) 13-10 -20.10 20.06 1.37 1.08 46.41
3 A Elon ( 7-10, 82.9) 4- 9 -16.96 23.21 1.37 1.08 -8.44
3 H East Carolina ( 8- 9, 83.5) 9-16 -16.36 23.80 -1.37 1.08 -9.60
3 H Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 9-18 -6.19 33.98 -1.37 1.08 -4.09
3 H Campbell (11- 6, 81.7) 8-10 -18.17 22.00 -1.37 1.08 -10.57
3 A Hofstra (10- 7, 84.6) 2-15 -15.34 24.83 1.37 1.08 -7.56
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204.70
|
winning pts = 278.7620 losing points = -74.0588
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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